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Oliver Buchannon
Bo Nichols
Six Things That Actually Drove Markets This Week

May 2, 2026

•

6 min read

Six Things That Actually Drove Markets This Week

The Fed split 8-4 for the first time since 1992. Oil hit $126 before pulling back. Alphabet surged and Meta fell on the same night. Powell stayed on the board. OpenAI cracked the AI trade for one day. Bitcoin held $75,000 and the Clarity Act moved closer.

Dio Pouerie
Bo Nichols
Dio Pouerie, +1
Records Extend. Oil Eases. The Ceiling Holds.

May 1, 2026

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5 min read

Records Extend. Oil Eases. The Ceiling Holds.

The S&P and Nasdaq hit new highs as Apple Inc.(AAPL) led the move. Brent slipped toward $108 on Iran talk headlines. Bitcoin pushed back toward $79,000 but failed again at $80,000. The rally held. The constraints did not clear.

Dio Pouerie
Bo Nichols
Dio Pouerie, +1
April Closed at Records. May Opens With the Same Risks.

May 1, 2026

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5 min read

April Closed at Records. May Opens With the Same Risks.

The S&P finished April up 10.4% and the Nasdaq up 15.3%, both their best months since 2020. Apple beat after the close. Exxon and Chevron report this morning. Brent is holding near $111. Bitcoin recovered to $77,000. The War Powers Resolution 60-day deadline arrives today.

Dio Pouerie
Bo Nichols
Dio Pouerie, +1
The Fed Split. The Earnings Diverged. The Cycle Reset.

Apr 30, 2026

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5 min read

The Fed Split. The Earnings Diverged. The Cycle Reset.

The Fed held at 3.50% to 3.75% in an 8–4 split. Alphabet surged on cloud growth. Meta fell on rising AI costs. GDP came in at 2%. Oil remains elevated. Bitcoin slipped below $76,000 as the macro tightened.

Dio Pouerie
Bo Nichols
Dio Pouerie, +1
Tech Split. Oil Spiked. The Data Lands Now.

Apr 30, 2026

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4 min read

Tech Split. Oil Spiked. The Data Lands Now.

Alphabet surged 7% on cloud dominance. Meta fell 7% on spending. Brent briefly touched $126 on reports Trump will be briefed on new Iran military options. Bitcoin dropped to $75,000 on the Fed's hawkish split. GDP and PCE land at 8:30 a.m.

Dio Pouerie
Bo Nichols
Dio Pouerie, +1
The Fed Split. Big Tech Delivered. The Market Reprices.

Apr 29, 2026

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4 min read

The Fed Split. Big Tech Delivered. The Market Reprices.

The Fed held at 3.50%–3.75% in an 8–4 split. Powell stays on the board. Alphabet beat on AI demand. Meta fell on higher spending. Bitcoin slipped toward $75,000. The system is adjusting to policy uncertainty and uneven AI returns.

Dio Pouerie
Bo Nichols
Dio Pouerie, +1
The Fed. The Earnings. The Blockade. All Today.

Apr 29, 2026

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4 min read

The Fed. The Earnings. The Blockade. All Today.

Futures recovered after Tuesday's OpenAI selloff. Trump told aides to prepare for an extended Iran blockade. Brent pushed above $107. The Fed holds at 2 p.m. Alphabet, Microsoft, Amazon, and Meta report after the close. Bitcoin is holding near $77,000 and waiting.

Dio Pouerie
Bo Nichols
Dio Pouerie, +1
AI Cracked. Oil Climbed. The Fed Waits.

Apr 28, 2026

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5 min read

AI Cracked. Oil Climbed. The Fed Waits.

Tech fell after OpenAI growth concerns. Oil pushed back toward $100 as Iran talks stalled. The Fed is set to hold at 3.50%–3.75%. Bitcoin slipped to $76,381. The market is pricing patience. The system is not.

Dio Pouerie
Bo Nichols
Dio Pouerie, +1
Records Yesterday. Oil Today. Wednesday Decides.

Apr 28, 2026

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5 min read

Records Yesterday. Oil Today. Wednesday Decides.

The S&P and Nasdaq hit fresh records Monday while oil climbed for a sixth straight session. Trump rejected Iran's Strait proposal. Bitcoin was turned back from $79,000 for the third time. Wednesday brings the Fed, four mega-cap earnings, and the Warsh vote in the same session.

Dio Pouerie
Bo Nichols
Dio Pouerie, +1
Oil Rises. Talks Stall. The Week Starts Heavy.

Apr 27, 2026

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5 min read

Oil Rises. Talks Stall. The Week Starts Heavy.

Trump canceled envoy travel. Brent climbed toward $102. Stocks paused. The Fed meets Wednesday. Mega-cap tech reports the same day. The system is still pricing a closed Strait.

Dio Pouerie
Bo Nichols
Dio Pouerie, +1
The Talks Collapsed. The Week Begins.

Apr 27, 2026

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4 min read

The Talks Collapsed. The Week Begins.

Trump canceled the Islamabad trip. Oil jumped 3% to $108. Bitcoin hit $79,000 then pulled back. The Fed meets Wednesday. Four mega-cap tech companies report the same day. The most important week of the cycle starts under a closed Strait.

Dio Pouerie
Bo Nichols
Dio Pouerie, +1
The Week That Tests the System

Apr 26, 2026

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5 min read

The Week That Tests the System

Last week named the timeline. This week measures the damage. The Fed meets Wednesday. GDP and PCE land Thursday. Five of the largest companies in the world report earnings. Bitcoin is stalling at $78,000 and needs macro support. The Strait is still closed.

Dio Pouerie
Bo Nichols
Dio Pouerie, +1
Six Things That Actually Drove Markets This Week

Apr 25, 2026

•

6 min read

Six Things That Actually Drove Markets This Week

The ceasefire extended but the Strait stayed closed. Oil hit $106 for the first time since March. The earnings season split in two. The IEA named a timeline. The Fed framework shifted. And private credit moved from discussion to enforcement.

Dio Pouerie
Bo Nichols
Dio Pouerie, +1
Chips Led. Oil Stayed. Talks Returned.

Apr 24, 2026

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4 min read

Chips Led. Oil Stayed. Talks Returned.

Intel surged over 20%. AMD followed. Iran’s foreign minister arrived in Islamabad. Brent stayed above $105. Bitcoin held near $77,500. The market is trading AI strength. The system is still trading energy damage.

Dio Pouerie
Bo Nichols
Dio Pouerie, +1
Intel Surged. Oil Didn't Stop. The Week Ends Unresolved.

Apr 24, 2026

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5 min read

Intel Surged. Oil Didn't Stop. The Week Ends Unresolved.

Intel jumped 20% after hours on AI-driven CPU demand. Oil is above $106 for a fifth straight session. Futures are mixed. Bitcoin is stalling near $78,000 with ETF inflows strong but short-term holders selling into the bid. Michigan sentiment lands at 10 a.m.

Dio Pouerie
Bo Nichols
Dio Pouerie, +1
Stocks Fell. Oil Climbed. The Strait Took Control.

Apr 23, 2026

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5 min read

Stocks Fell. Oil Climbed. The Strait Took Control.

The Nasdaq dropped 0.9%. Brent rose above $105 for a fourth straight gain. ServiceNow sank 18%. Intel jumped 14% after hours. The market is no longer pricing extension. It is starting to price the Strait again.

Dio Pouerie
Bo Nichols
Dio Pouerie, +1
Records Yesterday. Reality Today. Oil Is Back Above $100.

Apr 23, 2026

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4 min read

Records Yesterday. Reality Today. Oil Is Back Above $100.

Stocks hit all-time highs Wednesday then futures dropped Thursday as Iran seized more ships. Oil is back above $103. The IEA called this the biggest energy security threat in history. Bitcoin is holding near $78,000 but pulling back from $79,000. Intel reports tonight.

Dio Pouerie
Bo Nichols
Dio Pouerie, +1
Records in Stocks. $100 Oil. The Gap Is Back.

Apr 22, 2026

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4 min read

Records in Stocks. $100 Oil. The Gap Is Back.

The S&P 500 and Nasdaq hit fresh highs. Brent moved back above $100 after new ship seizures in the Strait. Tesla beat on cash flow. Bitcoin pushed toward $79,000. The market is pricing growth again. The system is still pricing disruption.

Dio Pouerie
Bo Nichols
Dio Pouerie, +1
The Ceasefire Extended. The Ships Got Hit Anyway.

Apr 22, 2026

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5 min read

The Ceasefire Extended. The Ships Got Hit Anyway.

Trump extended the ceasefire indefinitely but kept the blockade. Two ships were attacked in the Strait Wednesday morning. Bitcoin hit an 11-week high above $78,000. Tesla reports tonight. The market is pricing extension. The system is still pricing the Strait.

Dio Pouerie
Bo Nichols
Dio Pouerie, +1
The Ceasefire Extended. The Risk Didn’t Leave.

Apr 21, 2026

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5 min read

The Ceasefire Extended. The Risk Didn’t Leave.

Trump extended the ceasefire but kept the blockade in place. Oil held firm. Stocks fell. Warsh faced pressure in Congress. The market is pricing time. The system is still pricing tension.

Dio Pouerie
Bo Nichols
Dio Pouerie, +1
The War Trade Is Back. The Deal Still Isn't.

Apr 21, 2026

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5 min read

The War Trade Is Back. The Deal Still Isn't.

Iran told regional mediators it will send a team to Islamabad today. The ceasefire expires Wednesday night. Warsh testifies this morning. Retail sales land at 8:30 a.m. The market is pricing talks. The system is still pricing the Strait.

Dio Pouerie
Bo Nichols
Dio Pouerie, +1
The War Trade Is Back. The Deal Still Isn’t.

Apr 20, 2026

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5 min read

The War Trade Is Back. The Deal Still Isn’t.

Oil jumped back toward $95 as tensions rose ahead of Tuesday’s deadline. Stocks slipped but held near highs. Trump warned of strikes while talks remain uncertain. The market is reducing optimism. The system is increasing pressure.

Dio Pouerie
Bo Nichols
Dio Pouerie, +1
The Strait Closed Again. The Ceasefire Expires Tuesday.

Apr 20, 2026

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4 min read

The Strait Closed Again. The Ceasefire Expires Tuesday.

Iran fired on two commercial ships over the weekend. The U.S. seized an Iranian vessel. Oil surged 5% to 6%. Stock futures fell. Talks may resume in Islamabad but Iran says it will not attend. The weekend erased last week's relief trade in 48 hours.

Dio Pouerie
Bo Nichols
Dio Pouerie, +1
The Week That Prices the Recovery

Apr 19, 2026

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6 min read

The Week That Prices the Recovery

Last week proved markets can hold through a blockade. This week proves whether the economy can support the rally. Tesla and Amazon report into opposite problems. Defense tests whether war spending is real. And bitcoin is holding $72,000 waiting for the data to catch up.

Dio Pouerie
Bo Nichols
Dio Pouerie, +1
Six Things That Actually Drove Markets This Week

Apr 18, 2026

•

5 min read

Six Things That Actually Drove Markets This Week

The blockade started and markets held. Oil fell then bounced. The S&P hit records twice while the Strait stayed closed. The Fed transition became the most underpriced risk of the cycle. And the physical-futures gap hit historic levels.

Dio Pouerie
Bo Nichols
Dio Pouerie, +1
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