
Nvidia (NVDA) jumped after unveiling its AI PC chip. Marvell Technology (MRVL) surged 32% after Jensen Huang called it a future trillion-dollar company. Bitcoin fell below $70,000 as ETF outflows hit an 11-session streak. Rubio said Iran talks are still active.

MARKET PULSE
Tuesday belonged to AI again.
The equity tape stayed focused on infrastructure, chips, and compute while crypto broke lower and oil kept the Iran risk alive.
Marvell Technology (MRVL) surged 32% after Jensen Huang called it a possible “next trillion-dollar company.” The message was clear: AI is no longer just about GPUs. It is about networking, photonics, memory, cloud, and the systems that connect massive clusters together.
Alphabet (GOOGL) added another signal. The company plans to raise $80 billion through stock sales to fund AI data centers, chips, power, and infrastructure. Berkshire Hathaway is investing $10 billion in the package.
The Signal
AI capital demand is still accelerating. The market is rewarding every company that controls a bottleneck.
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ENERGY
Iran talks are still alive, but the Strait is still the test.
Secretary of State Marco Rubio told Congress that negotiations with Iran remain active, rejecting Iranian media reports that talks had collapsed. President Trump said the same.
Rubio also said Iran is now willing to discuss parts of its nuclear program that it had previously refused to touch. That is meaningful. It does not make a deal certain.
The U.S. demand is still clear. Iran must stop threatening commercial shipping, remove mines, and guarantee safe passage through the Strait of Hormuz before broader de-escalation can happen.
That keeps oil tied to one question: can diplomacy reopen the physical system before another strike cycle restarts?
Rubio defended the military campaign, saying U.S. strikes weakened Iran’s missile, drone, and naval capabilities. Democrats pressed him on oversight and the economic cost of the war. The hearing showed why markets remain cautious. The diplomacy is real. So is the political pressure.
Energy Signal
The talks did not collapse. But the market still needs proof that Hormuz can reopen safely.
MACRO
Europe is showing what the oil shock does when it lasts.
Eurozone inflation rose to 3.2% in May from 3.0% in April, well above the European Central Bank’s 2% target. Energy inflation rose 10.9% year over year. Services inflation reached 3.5%.
That matters because the inflation shock is no longer only an oil chart. It is moving into services, transport, and consumer prices.
Markets now price about a 94% chance that the European Central Bank raises rates by 25 basis points at its next meeting. Europe is more exposed than the U.S. because it relies more heavily on imported energy.
In the U.S., the rates market is already dealing with the same fear. Higher oil, strong AI spending, and sticky inflation keep the Fed from returning to a clean rate-cut story.
That is the macro split of June. Equities want to trade AI earnings. Central banks are still trading inflation risk.
Macro Signal
The energy shock is fading from headlines faster than it is fading from inflation data.
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CAPITAL
Microsoft (MSFT) is trying to own more of the AI stack.
At Build 2026, Microsoft unveiled MAI-Code-1-Flash, its first in-house AI coding model, and MAI-Thinking-1, a reasoning model built to run at lower cost. The point is not product expansion. It is margin control.
Microsoft depends on OpenAI and Anthropic today. Its own models give it more economics inside Azure, GitHub Copilot, and Visual Studio Code. Developers who stay in that ecosystem drive cloud usage and platform lock-in. That is why Alphabet wants the same market.
Microsoft also unveiled Majorana 2, a quantum chip it says could support useful quantum systems by 2029. The market takeaway is simple: Microsoft wants to compete across AI models, coding agents, and whatever comes after classical silicon.
Exchange stocks fell separately. CME Group (CME), Cboe Global Markets (CBOE), Intercontinental Exchange (ICE), and Nasdaq (NDAQ) all declined after the CFTC approved bitcoin perpetual futures on Kalshi. Perpetual futures drive more than $90 trillion in annual crypto volume. The fear is that regulated perps expand beyond bitcoin and erode traditional futures market share.
Capital Signal
The AI and market-structure shifts are moving at the same time. Microsoft wants model control. Kalshi wants exchange disruption.
CRYPTO PULSE
Bitcoin lost $70,000.
BTC fell more than 6% to around $67,000, its first break below $70,000 since April. The move came after Strategy disclosed it sold 32 BTC, its first bitcoin sale since 2022.
The amount was small. The signal was not.
Strategy (MSTR) has long represented the “never sell” bitcoin treasury model. Even a 32-BTC sale raised doubts about whether corporate bitcoin holders may need to sell to fund obligations, dividends, or operations.
The selloff turned mechanical fast. Crypto markets saw roughly $594 million in long liquidations over 24 hours. Coinbase (COIN), Galaxy Digital (GLXY), and Strategy all fell.
ETF flows added pressure. U.S. spot bitcoin ETFs recorded their 11th straight day of outflows, the longest streak on record. Bitcoin has also failed to act like digital gold or like high-growth tech. The S&P 500 is near records. Bitcoin is far below its October peak above $126,000.
Standard Chartered said the Strategy sale may mark the start of Ethereum outperformance. The logic is simple. Bitcoin treasuries do not earn native yield. Ethereum treasuries can stake ETH and earn roughly 3%. That may give ethereum treasury companies like Bitmine Immersion Technologies (BMNR) and SharpLink Gaming (SBET) a structural advantage.
The Verdict
Bitcoin’s store-of-value story cracked again. Ethereum’s yield story got stronger.
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CLOSING LENS
Tuesday clarified the market’s hierarchy.
AI is still first.
Nvidia is moving from data centers into PCs. Marvell Technology is being repriced as AI networking infrastructure. Alphabet is raising $80 billion because compute demand is outrunning supply. Microsoft is building its own models to lower costs and own more of the stack.
Oil is second.
Rubio said Iran talks are active, but Hormuz still needs mines removed, safe passage guaranteed, and commercial shipping normalized.
Crypto is third.
Bitcoin broke $70,000. ETF outflows hit 11 sessions. Strategy sold. Ethereum’s staking model suddenly looks more valuable.
The market is not confused. It is choosing.
For now, capital wants AI infrastructure more than crypto scarcity.


