U.S. spot bitcoin funds took in about $2.25 billion from Monday through Thursday, and each day was smaller than the last. The 10-year closed at 5.18% Thursday. Strategy spent more buying back preferred stock than buying bitcoin. Bitget paused withdrawals after a hot-wallet breach. Bitcoin traded near $84,090 early Friday afternoon.

MARKET PULSE

Bitcoin found its buyers this week. It could not hold its price.

U.S. spot bitcoin funds took in about $2.25 billion from Monday through Thursday, per Farside Investors. Bitcoin still slipped. It topped $87,000 on Monday and traded near $84,090 at 12:17 p.m. Eastern Friday.

Bonds explain part of the gap. The 10-year Treasury yield closed at 5.18% Thursday, up from 4.96% on Monday.

The rest sits in the plumbing. Strategy (MSTR) spent more on its own preferred stock than on bitcoin. The exchange that invented the perpetual swap shut down. Bitget paused withdrawals after a breach.

Here are the six things that mattered.

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THEME 1

The Shorts Started It. The Funds Could Not Finish It.

Monday's jump started in the futures market.

Bitcoin rose 6.59% on Monday as short sellers were forced out. About $746.6 million of positions were liquidated in 24 hours. Shorts made up about $647.9 million of that.

Open interest did not shrink. It rose 7.59% to about $156 billion. The leverage changed hands. It did not leave.

Spot demand came next. Fund inflows ran $999.0 million Monday and $714.7 million Tuesday, per Farside. Then came $346.9 million and $190.7 million. The iShares Bitcoin Trust (IBIT) from BlackRock (BLK) led all four days. Ether funds added about $602.8 million, after losing about $140.6 million the week before.

The money kept coming while the price went the other way. Each day brought in less than the day before.

The Takeaway

The funds did not quit. They slowed. A rally started by forced buying needs patient buyers to speed up. This week they eased off.

THEME 2

Bonds Braced for a Storm. Bitcoin's Options Did Not.

The 10-year rose 22 basis points in four sessions. Thursday's close was its highest since July 2007.

The Fed story moved with it. Futures now price about a 67% chance of a hike on October 28. Polymarket's contract sits at 68%.

Wednesday broke a favorite argument. The dollar climbed, gold fell and bitcoin fell too. A hedge against a weak dollar does not trade that way.

Then came the odd part. The MOVE index of bond volatility jumped to 104 from about 80 on Tuesday, CoinDesk reported. That is its highest since March. Volmex's gauge of expected bitcoin swings sat near 37, close to its low for the year.

About $16 billion of bitcoin options expired on Deribit, owned by Coinbase (COIN), at 4 a.m. Eastern Friday. Bitcoin held above $83,000 through the morning.

The Takeaway

Bonds are pricing a rough month. Bitcoin options are pricing a quiet one. Both cannot be right.

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THEME 3

Strategy Ran Its Machine Backward

The headline was 950 coins. The news was a zero.

Strategy bought back more preferred stock than bitcoin, a Monday filing shows. It bought 950 bitcoin for $75.7 million, at an average of $79,670. It spent $174.0 million buying back its STRC (STRC) preferred. It sold zero shares through its at-the-market program.

The model usually runs the other way. Strategy sells stock and preferred paper, then turns the cash into bitcoin. For that week, it paid to shrink the paper.

STRC has traded below its $100 stated value since May, despite a 12% dividend, CoinDesk reported. This week, Strategy proposed daily dividends on its four preferred stocks. Shareholders vote October 28.

That 12% payout now competes with a 5.18% Treasury. The common stock closed above $168 Monday and traded near $159 early Friday afternoon.

The Takeaway

The largest corporate buyer spent the week defending its funding. That bid runs on the price of money, like every other bid.

THEME 4

The Perp's Inventor Left as Bigger Venues Filed

BitMEX stopped trading and deposits at 04:00 UTC on Wednesday. It ran for 11 years. In 2016 it launched the first perpetual swap, a futures contract with no end date. That product now rules crypto leverage. BitMEX lost the business to bigger rivals.

Regulated U.S. firms want it now. Coinbase filed on September 18 to list perpetuals on U.S. stocks. Kalshi filed its own version a day later. The CFTC review of Coinbase's filing runs to about November 2.

A lawsuit hangs over both. CME Group (CME) sued the CFTC in June. It argues that perpetuals are swaps, not futures. The agency has moved to dismiss. CME's reply is due October 2.

CME plans Bitcoin Cash and Uniswap futures for October 19, pending review. Those are ordinary expiring futures.

The Takeaway

The product won. The fight over who gets to sell it is still open. So far the week produced filings, not approvals.

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THEME 5

The New Rails Come With Fine Print

Big names signed on this week. Most of the terms stayed private.

The New York Stock Exchange and Blockchain.com agreed to explore selling tokenized NYSE stocks and ETFs. Nothing is live. It depends on a planned NYSE digital trading system and on regulators. NYSE's parent is Intercontinental Exchange (ICE).

BlackRock built three portfolios for Ondo Finance to tokenize. They launched outside the U.S. Holders get no direct rights in the funds.

Circle (CRCL) began offering USDC loans against bitcoin. It has not published loan limits, rates or liquidation rules. Binance also bought $100 million of Circle stock at $80.84 a share, tied to a five-year USDC deal.

SoFi (SOFI) says it now settles its card program with Mastercard (MA) in its SoFiUSD stablecoin. It expects more than $25 billion a year.

The Takeaway

Distribution arrived before disclosure. U.S. buyers are promised full rights. Offshore buyers get more freedom. The missing terms will decide which model wins.

THEME 6

Only the Dollars Could Be Frozen

Bitget lost $351.6 million from its hot and warm wallets on Thursday. It paused withdrawals. Trading and deposits kept running. Chief Executive Gracy Chen said cold wallets were safe.

Bitget later put the damage near $387.5 million. It said a plan to restart withdrawals would come by 1 p.m. Saturday in Seoul. Its protection fund holds more than $464 million.

Circle and Tether froze a linked wallet holding about $318,000 in stablecoins, CoinDesk reported. Addresses tied to the exploit still hold more than 63,000 ether, per the tracker MistTrack. No issuer can freeze those.

The wider market treated it as one platform's problem.

The Takeaway

Stablecoins carry an off switch. Ether does not. The switch saved a sliver. Bitget's fund, not the chain, has to cover the rest.

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CLOSING LENS

The week settled one question and sharpened another.

Settled: the funds are real buyers. They bought on all four days, even as the price fell.

Sharpened: whether they can outrun the price of money. Yields jumped midweek. The funds' daily haul fell by about four-fifths.

Strategy showed the same limit from inside. Its preferred stock pays 12% and still trades below $100.

The structure kept moving anyway. NYSE, BlackRock, Coinbase and Circle all built toward crypto rails. Most of it is filed, planned or offshore. Little is approved and live in the U.S.

Leverage never left, either. Monday's squeeze rebuilt it. Bond swings are growing while bitcoin's options stay calm.

Last week, crypto traded on what agencies decided.

This week, it traded on what money costs.

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